The evaluation is intended to answer the overarching question: Is the Chronic Homelessness Initiative an effective strategy to end and prevent chronic homelessness in Los Angeles County? The evaluation will provide both interim milestones related to improving the systems designed to house and serve people experiencing chronic homelessness and estimates of the effect of the development and operation of permanent supportive housing (PSH) on its residents and on chronic homelessness itself.
The Foundation articulated the following five-year strategic goals for the Initiative, significant milestones toward the goal of ending and preventing chronic homelessness in Los Angeles:
- Demonstrated action by elected and public officials to support a systemic approach to addressing chronic homelessness;
- $15 million in private funds leveraged directly toward PSH;
- $75 million in public sector funds realigned toward PSH;
- 3,000 new PSH units constructed or in the development pipeline;
- 1,000 scattered site PSH units made available with necessary operating and service funding;
- 1,000 of the most vulnerable chronically homeless persons housed in PSH;
- A system of prioritizing chronically homeless persons for PSH in place; and
- Increased capacity of developers and providers to provide PSH effectively.
The goals and the Foundation‘s associated grant investments reflect an underlying theory of what the Hilton Foundation thought was needed in order to address chronic homelessness in Los Angeles. The evaluation team documented the unspoken rationale behind the investments in a Theory of Change, developed through discussions with Foundation staff and other key stakeholders.
Briefly, the theory is that to end chronic homelessness, Los Angeles needs significantly more PSH resources and a formal system of linking chronically homeless individuals with available PSH based on well-established priorities for identifying who is chronically homeless and who among those should be placed in housing first. Further, the theory recognizes that to develop more PSH resources, the community will need consensus that PSH should be a priority, political will to overcome funding and siting battles that have hampered wide-spread development of PSH in the past, commitments from funders to develop the units needed, and increased capacity among housing and service providers to effectively target PSH to chronically homeless people. The evaluation is designed to provide an assessment of each of the goals within the context of the Theory of Change. Each goal is examined in relation to whether there is sufficient data to adequately measure progress on the goal and then, if possible, the extent to which each goal has been attained.
The 2012 Report, delivered in October 2012, provided the evaluation team‘s report on the first 18 months of the Initiative. This second report in the series, the 2013 Report, covers actions undertaken and results accomplished from January 2011 through August 2013. Results in this 2013 Report are compared against baselines established in the 2012 Report where possible. The 2013 assessment is based on: information collected through a web-based survey; interviews with representatives of public and private organizations, including the Foundation‘s 2013 grantees; focus groups with formerly homeless PSH residents; analysis of data from Hilton Foundation grantees – especially Home For Good, the Corporation for Supportive Housing, and Community Solutions; analysis of Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority (LAHSA) point-in-time count estimates; and independent documentation of other local actions and events.